Analysis & Forecast of Heavy Truck Market in Oct. 2012 I

  www.chinatrucks.com: As statistics revealed by China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), 306,803 commercial vehicles were sold in October 2012, reaching 0.52% negative year-on-year growth and 0.52% negative sequential growth. The total sales reached 3,070,577 units, growing on negative 6.55% year-on-year basis.

267,232 trucks (heavy trucks, light trucks, medium trucks and micro trucks) were sold in October 2012, reaching 1.3% positive year-on-year growth and 3.7% positive sequential growth. The sales totaled at 2,719,972 units, growing on -9.46% year-on-year bases.

Seen from the October sales statistics, the medium trucks increased by 16% sales growth, which was the star segment market in the truck market.  The heavy trucks and the light trucks showed in the a litter growth in the sequential basis, but the micro trucks showed in the negative sales growth.

For heavy trucks, 43，640 units were sold in October 2012, down 23.41% on a year-on-year bases and up 1.93% on a sequential base.

Part One: General Analysis of Heavy Trucks' Sales in Oct. 2012.

From August to October 2012, the truck market was seen following the rule of “Golden September and silver October”. According to the CAAM data shows, a total of 496,274 heavy trucks were produced in Jan.-Oct. 2012, down 30.24% year-on-year growth. And a total of 535,928 heavy trucks were sold in Jan.-Oct. 2012, which decreased by 233,421 units comparing to the 769,349 units in Jan.-Oct. 2011, down 30.34% year-on-year growth.

The sale volumes of heavy trucks in Jan.-Oct. 2012 only reached the 60.9% of the total sale volumes of the heavy trucks in 2011.

Chart One: Monthly sale volumes & growth of heavy trucks in 2011 & 2012